Home Nice
43% Win
Prob
VS
27% Draw
Away Lorient
30% Win
Prob
Ligue 1

Nice vs Lorient

Sat 22 Aug 20262:45 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Nice Win 43%
Draw 27%
Lorient Win 30%
Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceNICEDrawLORIENT
Betfair Exchange sharp43%27%30%
Smarkets sharp43%26%30%
Pinnacle43%27%30%
DraftKings43%27%30%
FanDuel44%26%30%
BetMGM43%26%31%
Wtd. Average43%27%30%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
17%
2–1
17%
2–2
14%
3–1
13%
1–2
12%
3–2
11%
2–0
10%
3–0
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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