Home Norway
23% Win
Prob
VS
26% Draw
Away England
51% Win
Prob
Quarterfinal

Norway vs England

Sat 11 Jul 20265:00 AM SGT · KickoffHard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Market Consensus
Norway Win 23%
Draw 26%
England Win 51%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceNORWAYDrawENGLAND
Betfair Exchange sharp23%26%51%
Smarkets sharp23%26%51%
Matchbook sharp23%26%51%
Pinnacle23%26%51%
DraftKings24%26%50%
FanDuel23%26%51%
Wtd. Average23%26%51%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
Loading form…
Correct Score
1–1
18%
1–2
16%
2–2
14%
2–1
13%
1–3
12%
2–3
10%
0–2
10%
3–2
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
What does the crowd think?
Sponsored
Velquiry – Smart Data for Sharp Decisions