◯Sat 11 Jul 2026◯5:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
Market Consensus
Norway Win23%
Draw26%
England Win51%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
NORWAY
Draw
ENGLAND
Betfair Exchange sharp
23%
26%
51%
Smarkets sharp
23%
26%
51%
Matchbook sharp
23%
26%
51%
Pinnacle
23%
26%
51%
DraftKings
24%
26%
50%
FanDuel
23%
26%
51%
Wtd. Average
23%
26%
51%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
18%
1–2
16%
2–2
14%
2–1
13%
1–3
12%
2–3
10%
0–2
10%
3–2
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.