Who is the favourite in Norway vs France?

Betting exchange markets make France the 68% favourite to win Norway vs France. Norway win probability is 14%, Draw is 18%, France win is 68%.

What are the odds for Norway vs France?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Norway 14% | Draw 18% | France 68%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Norway

14% Win
Prob

18% Draw

Away France

68% Win
Prob

the tournament

Norway vs France

◯Fri 26 Jun 2026◯3:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Massachusetts

Market Consensus

Norway Win 14%

Draw 18%

France Win 68%

Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	NORWAY	Draw	FRANCE
Betfair Exchange sharp	13%	18%	69%
Smarkets sharp	14%	18%	69%
Matchbook sharp	13%	18%	69%
Pinnacle	13%	17%	69%
DraftKings	14%	18%	68%
FanDuel	15%	18%	67%
Wtd. Average	14%	18%	69%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live

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Correct Score

1–2

16%

1–3

16%

1–1

13%

2–2

12%

2–3

12%

1–4

12%

0–2

10%

0–3

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.