Home Norway
42% Win
Prob
VS
27% Draw
Away Senegal
31% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

Norway vs Senegal

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Norway Win42%
Draw27%
Senegal Win31%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceNORWAYDrawSENEGAL
Betfair Exchange sharp41%28%31%
Smarkets sharp41%28%31%
Matchbook sharp41%28%31%
Pinnacle41%27%32%
DraftKings41%27%32%
FanDuel40%28%32%
Wtd. Average41%28%31%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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