Home Panama
14% Win
Prob
VS
24% Draw
Away Croatia
62% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

Panama vs Croatia

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Panama Win14%
Draw24%
Croatia Win62%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourcePANAMADrawCROATIA
Betfair Exchange sharp13%24%63%
Smarkets sharp13%24%63%
Matchbook sharp13%24%63%
Pinnacle14%24%61%
DraftKings15%23%62%
FanDuel15%24%62%
Wtd. Average13%24%62%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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