Home Paraguay
35% Win
Prob
VS
42% Draw
Away Australia
23% Win
Prob
the tournament

Paraguay vs Australia

10:00 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Paraguay Win35%
Draw42%
Australia Win23%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourcePARAGUAYDrawAUSTRALI
Pinnacle36%41%23%
DraftKings36%42%23%
FanDuel35%42%23%
Wtd. Average36%42%23%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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