Who is the favourite in Paraguay vs France?

Betting exchange markets make France the 82% favourite to win Paraguay vs France. Paraguay win probability is 5%, Draw is 13%, France win is 82%.

What are the odds for Paraguay vs France?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Paraguay 5% | Draw 13% | France 82%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Paraguay

5% Win
Prob

13% Draw

Away France

82% Win
Prob

Round of 16

Paraguay vs France

◯Sat 04 Jul 2026◯5:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Market Consensus

Paraguay Win 5%

Draw 13%

France Win 82%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	PARAGUAY	Draw	FRANCE
Betfair Exchange sharp	5%	13%	83%
Smarkets sharp	5%	13%	83%
Matchbook sharp	5%	13%	82%
Pinnacle	5%	13%	82%
DraftKings	5%	14%	81%
FanDuel	5%	14%	81%
Wtd. Average	5%	13%	82%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

0–2

18%

0–3

18%

0–4

13%

1–2

12%

1–3

11%

0–1

11%

1–1

1–4

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?