Home Parma
36% Win
Prob
VS
31% Draw
Away Cagliari
33% Win
Prob
Serie A

Parma vs Cagliari

Sat 22 Aug 20262:45 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Parma Win 36%
Draw 31%
Cagliari Win 33%
Weighted consensus across 7 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourcePARMADrawCAGLIARI
Betfair Exchange sharp35%32%33%
Smarkets sharp36%30%33%
Pinnacle36%31%33%
DraftKings36%31%33%
FanDuel36%30%34%
BetMGM37%30%33%
Wtd. Average36%31%33%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 7 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
21%
2–1
16%
1–2
12%
2–2
11%
2–0
11%
0–0
10%
3–1
10%
1–0
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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