Who is the favourite in Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Betting exchange markets make Portugal the 80% favourite to win Portugal vs Uzbekistan. Portugal win probability is 80%, Draw is 14%, Uzbekistan win is 6%.

What are the odds for Portugal vs Uzbekistan?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Portugal 80% | Draw 14% | Uzbekistan 6%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Portugal

80% Win
Prob

14% Draw

Away Uzbekistan

6% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Portugal vs Uzbekistan

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Portugal Win80%

Draw14%

Uzbekistan Win6%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	PORTUGAL	Draw	UZBEKIST
Betfair Exchange sharp	81%	13%	6%
Smarkets sharp	81%	13%	6%
Matchbook sharp	81%	13%	6%
Pinnacle	80%	14%	6%
DraftKings	80%	14%	6%
FanDuel	80%	14%	6%
Wtd. Average	80%	13%	6%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.