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Qatar
22%
Win
Prob
Prob
VS
28%
Draw
Away
Switzerland
50%
Win
Prob
Prob
the tournament
Qatar vs Switzerland
Market Consensus
Qatar Win22%
Draw28%
Switzerland Win50%
Weighted consensus across 2 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
| Source | QATAR | Draw | SWITZERL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| Kalshi | 22% | 28% | 50% |
| Wtd. Average | 22% | 28% | 50% |
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 2 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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