Who is the favourite in Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Betting exchange markets make Real Madrid the 67% favourite to win Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad. Real Madrid win probability is 67%, Draw is 19%, Real Sociedad win is 14%.

What are the odds for Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Real Madrid 67% | Draw 19% | Real Sociedad 14%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Real Madrid

67% Win
Prob

19% Draw

Away Real Sociedad

14% Win
Prob

La Liga

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad

◯Sun 16 Aug 2026◯3:00 AM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Real Madrid Win 67%

Draw 19%

Real Sociedad Win 14%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	MADRID	Draw	SOCIEDAD
Pinnacle	67%	19%	14%
DraftKings	66%	19%	14%
Wtd. Average	67%	19%	14%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books · live

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Correct Score

3–1

16%

2–1

15%

3–0

13%

4–1

13%

2–0

12%

4–0

11%

1–1

11%

3–2

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?