Who is the favourite in Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Betting exchange markets make Uruguay the 45% favourite to win Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay. Saudi Arabia win probability is 26%, Draw is 29%, Uruguay win is 45%.

What are the odds for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Saudi Arabia 26% | Draw 29% | Uruguay 45%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Saudi Arabia

26% Win
Prob

29% Draw

Away Uruguay

45% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay

◯06:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Saudi Arabia Win26%

Draw29%

Uruguay Win45%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	ARABIA	Draw	URUGUAY
Betfair Exchange sharp	27%	30%	43%
Polymarket	25%	29%	46%
Kalshi	26%	28%	46%
Wtd. Average	27%	30%	43%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.