Home Scotland
17% Win
Prob
VS
27% Draw
Away Morocco
56% Win
Prob
What The Market Says

Scotland vs Morocco

SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Scotland Win17%
Draw27%
Morocco Win56%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceSCOTLANDDrawMOROCCO
Betfair Exchange sharp17%27%56%
Smarkets sharp17%27%56%
Matchbook sharp17%27%56%
Pinnacle18%26%56%
DraftKings18%27%55%
FanDuel17%27%56%
Wtd. Average17%27%56%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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