Who is the favourite in Senegal vs Iraq?

Betting exchange markets make Senegal the 79% favourite to win Senegal vs Iraq. Senegal win probability is 79%, Draw is 14%, Iraq win is 8%.

What are the odds for Senegal vs Iraq?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Senegal 79% | Draw 14% | Iraq 8%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Senegal

79% Win
Prob

14% Draw

Away Iraq

8% Win
Prob

the tournament

Senegal vs Iraq

◯Fri 26 Jun 2026◯3:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯BMO Field, Toronto

Market Consensus

Senegal Win 79%

Draw 14%

Iraq Win 8%

Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	SENEGAL	Draw	IRAQ
Betfair Exchange sharp	80%	13%	7%
Smarkets sharp	80%	13%	7%
Matchbook sharp	79%	13%	7%
Pinnacle	78%	14%	8%
DraftKings	77%	15%	8%
FanDuel	79%	14%	8%
Wtd. Average	79%	13%	7%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live

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Correct Score

4–1

15%

3–1

14%

4–0

14%

3–0

13%

5–1

12%

5–0

11%

2–1

10%

2–0

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.