Who is the favourite in Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Betting exchange markets make Sevilla the 42% favourite to win Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano. Sevilla win probability is 42%, Draw is 30%, Rayo Vallecano win is 29%.

What are the odds for Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Sevilla 42% | Draw 30% | Rayo Vallecano 29%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Sevilla

42% Win
Prob

30% Draw

Away Rayo Vallecano

29% Win
Prob

La Liga

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

◯Sat 15 Aug 2026◯3:30 AM SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Sevilla Win 42%

Draw 30%

Rayo Vallecano Win 29%

Weighted consensus across 6 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	SEVILLA	Draw	VALLECAN
Betfair Exchange sharp	41%	31%	28%
Smarkets sharp	41%	29%	30%
Pinnacle	43%	29%	28%
DraftKings	42%	29%	28%
FanDuel	42%	29%	29%
Wtd. Average	41%	30%	29%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 6 books · live

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Correct Score

1–1

20%

2–1

16%

2–0

12%

1–2

11%

2–2

11%

3–1

11%

1–0

10%

0–0

10%

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.

What does the crowd think?