Home South Africa
17% Win
Prob
VS
26% Draw
Away Canada
56% Win
Prob
the tournament

South Africa vs Canada

Sun 28 Jun 20263:00 AM SGT · KickoffSoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California
Market Consensus
South Africa Win 17%
Draw 26%
Canada Win 56%
Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceAFRICADrawCANADA
Betfair Exchange sharp17%26%56%
Smarkets sharp17%26%56%
Matchbook sharp17%26%56%
Pinnacle18%27%56%
DraftKings18%26%56%
FanDuel18%27%56%
Wtd. Average17%26%56%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
19%
1–2
17%
0–2
13%
1–3
12%
2–2
11%
2–1
10%
0–1
9%
0–3
9%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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