Who is the favourite in Spain vs Austria?

Betting exchange markets make Spain the 74% favourite to win Spain vs Austria. Spain win probability is 74%, Draw is 18%, Austria win is 8%.

What are the odds for Spain vs Austria?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Spain 74% | Draw 18% | Austria 8%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Spain

74% Win
Prob

18% Draw

Away Austria

8% Win
Prob

Round of 32

Spain vs Austria

◯Thu 02 Jul 2026◯3:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California

What does the crowd think?

Market Consensus

Spain Win 74%

Draw 18%

Austria Win 8%

Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	SPAIN	Draw	AUSTRIA
Betfair Exchange sharp	75%	18%	7%
Smarkets sharp	75%	18%	7%
Matchbook sharp	75%	18%	7%
Pinnacle	74%	17%	9%
DraftKings	73%	18%	9%
FanDuel	74%	18%	8%
Wtd. Average	74%	18%	8%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live

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Correct Score

3–0

16%

2–0

14%

3–1

14%

4–0

14%

2–1

12%

4–1

12%

5–0

1–1

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.