Who is the favourite in Spain vs Saudi Arabia?

Betting exchange markets make Spain the 87% favourite to win Spain vs Saudi Arabia. Spain win probability is 87%, Draw is 9%, Saudi Arabia win is 4%.

What are the odds for Spain vs Saudi Arabia?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Spain 87% | Draw 9% | Saudi Arabia 4%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Spain

87% Win
Prob

9% Draw

Away Saudi Arabia

4% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Spain vs Saudi Arabia

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Spain Win87%

Draw9%

Saudi Arabia Win4%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	SPAIN	Draw	ARABIA
Betfair Exchange sharp	88%	9%	4%
Smarkets sharp	88%	9%	4%
Matchbook sharp	88%	9%	4%
Pinnacle	87%	9%	4%
DraftKings	87%	9%	4%
FanDuel	86%	9%	5%
Wtd. Average	88%	9%	4%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.