Home St. Louis City SC
66% Win
Prob
VS
19% Draw
Away Sporting Kansas City
15% Win
Prob
MLS

St. Louis City SC vs Sporting Kansas City

Fri 17 Jul 20268:30 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
St. Louis City SC Win 66%
Draw 19%
Sporting Kansas City Win 15%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceSCDrawCITY
Betfair Exchange sharp67%19%14%
Smarkets sharp67%19%14%
Matchbook sharp67%19%14%
Pinnacle66%19%15%
DraftKings65%19%16%
FanDuel67%18%15%
Wtd. Average66%19%15%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
3–1
17%
4–1
15%
2–1
14%
3–2
12%
3–0
12%
4–2
10%
5–1
10%
4–0
10%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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