Who is the favourite in Sweden vs Tunisia?

Betting exchange markets make Sweden the 52% favourite to win Sweden vs Tunisia. Sweden win probability is 52%, Draw is 27%, Tunisia win is 21%.

What are the odds for Sweden vs Tunisia?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Sweden 52% | Draw 27% | Tunisia 21%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Sweden

52% Win
Prob

27% Draw

Away Tunisia

21% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Sweden vs Tunisia

◯10:00 SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Sweden Win52%

Draw27%

Tunisia Win21%

Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	SWEDEN	Draw	TUNISIA
Betfair Exchange sharp	51%	28%	21%
Polymarket	53%	26%	21%
Kalshi	52%	27%	21%
Wtd. Average	51%	28%	21%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.