Weighted consensus across 1 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
TORINO
Draw
MILAN
Pinnacle
22%
26%
53%
Wtd. Average
22%
26%
53%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 1 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
19%
1–2
17%
2–2
13%
2–1
12%
1–3
12%
0–2
11%
2–3
9%
0–0
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.