Home Troyes
34% Win
Prob
VS
28% Draw
Away Paris FC
38% Win
Prob
Ligue 1

Troyes vs Paris FC

Sat 22 Aug 20262:45 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Troyes Win 34%
Draw 28%
Paris FC Win 38%
Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceTROYESDrawFC
Betfair Exchange sharp33%29%37%
Smarkets sharp35%26%38%
Pinnacle35%28%38%
DraftKings35%28%38%
FanDuel35%27%38%
BetMGM35%27%38%
Wtd. Average34%28%38%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books · live
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Correct Score
1–1
19%
2–1
16%
1–2
14%
2–2
14%
3–1
10%
3–2
9%
2–0
9%
1–3
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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