Who is the favourite in Tunisia vs Japan?

Betting exchange markets make Japan the 63% favourite to win Tunisia vs Japan. Tunisia win probability is 14%, Draw is 23%, Japan win is 63%.

What are the odds for Tunisia vs Japan?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Tunisia 14% | Draw 23% | Japan 63%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Tunisia

14% Win
Prob

23% Draw

Away Japan

63% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Tunisia vs Japan

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Tunisia Win14%

Draw23%

Japan Win63%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	TUNISIA	Draw	JAPAN
Betfair Exchange sharp	13%	24%	63%
Smarkets sharp	13%	24%	63%
Matchbook sharp	13%	24%	63%
Pinnacle	14%	23%	63%
DraftKings	14%	23%	63%
FanDuel	15%	24%	62%
Wtd. Average	13%	24%	63%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.