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Tunisia
3%
Win
Prob
Prob
VS
8%
Draw
Away
Netherlands
88%
Win
Prob
Prob
the tournament
Tunisia vs Netherlands
Market Consensus
Tunisia Win3%
Draw8%
Netherlands Win88%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
| Source | TUNISIA | Draw | NETHERLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| DraftKings | 4% | 9% | 88% |
| FanDuel | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| Wtd. Average | 3% | 9% | 88% |
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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