Home Turkey
26% Win
Prob
VS
24% Draw
Away USA
51% Win
Prob
the tournament

Turkey vs USA

10:00 AM SGT · Kickoff
Market Consensus
Turkey Win26%
Draw24%
USA Win51%
Weighted consensus across 3 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
SourceTURKEYDrawUSA
Pinnacle26%23%51%
DraftKings26%24%50%
FanDuel26%24%51%
Wtd. Average26%24%51%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 3 books
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Correct Score
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.
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