Who is the favourite in Türkiye vs Paraguay?

Betting exchange markets make Türkiye the 47% favourite to win Türkiye vs Paraguay. Türkiye win probability is 47%, Draw is 28%, Paraguay win is 25%.

What are the odds for Türkiye vs Paraguay?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Türkiye 47% | Draw 28% | Paraguay 25%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Türkiye

47% Win
Prob

28% Draw

Away Paraguay

25% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Türkiye vs Paraguay

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Türkiye Win47%

Draw28%

Paraguay Win25%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	TÜRKIYE	Draw	PARAGUAY
Betfair Exchange sharp	47%	28%	25%
Smarkets sharp	47%	28%	25%
Matchbook sharp	47%	28%	25%
Pinnacle	47%	28%	25%
DraftKings	47%	28%	25%
FanDuel	47%	29%	24%
Wtd. Average	47%	28%	25%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.