Who is the favourite in Türkiye vs USA?

Betting exchange markets make USA the 40% favourite to win Türkiye vs USA. Türkiye win probability is 34%, Draw is 26%, USA win is 40%.

What are the odds for Türkiye vs USA?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Türkiye 34% | Draw 26% | USA 40%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Türkiye

34% Win
Prob

26% Draw

Away USA

40% Win
Prob

What The Market Says

Türkiye vs USA

◯SGT · Kickoff

Market Consensus

Türkiye Win34%

Draw26%

USA Win40%

Weighted consensus across 8 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	TÜRKIYE	Draw	USA
Betfair Exchange sharp	34%	25%	41%
Smarkets sharp	34%	25%	41%
Matchbook sharp	34%	25%	41%
Pinnacle	35%	26%	39%
DraftKings	36%	26%	38%
FanDuel	34%	25%	41%
Wtd. Average	34%	25%	40%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 8 books

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Correct Score

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.