Who is the favourite in Uruguay vs Spain?

Betting exchange markets make Spain the 57% favourite to win Uruguay vs Spain. Uruguay win probability is 16%, Draw is 27%, Spain win is 57%.

What are the odds for Uruguay vs Spain?

Exchange-weighted market consensus: Uruguay 16% | Draw 27% | Spain 57%. Data sourced from Betfair Exchange, Smarkets, Pinnacle and other bookmakers, with sharp books weighted up to 25x more than soft retail books.

Home Uruguay

16% Win
Prob

27% Draw

Away Spain

57% Win
Prob

the tournament

Uruguay vs Spain

◯Sat 27 Jun 2026◯8:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Estadio Akron, Guadalajara

Market Consensus

Uruguay Win 16%

Draw 27%

Spain Win 57%

Weighted consensus across 9 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.

By source

Source	URUGUAY	Draw	SPAIN
Betfair Exchange sharp	16%	27%	58%
Smarkets sharp	15%	27%	58%
Matchbook sharp	16%	27%	58%
Pinnacle	15%	27%	58%
DraftKings	17%	27%	57%
FanDuel	16%	27%	57%
Wtd. Average	16%	27%	58%

↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 9 books · live

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Correct Score

1–1

19%

1–2

16%

0–2

14%

0–1

11%

1–3

11%

0–0

10%

2–1

10%

2–2

Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.