◯Thu 02 Jul 2026◯8:00 AM SGT · Kickoff◯Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California
What does the crowd think?
Market Consensus
USA Win70%
Draw19%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win11%
Weighted consensus across 10 bookmakers — betting exchanges & sharp books weighted up to 25× more than soft retail books. Vig removed per source before averaging.
By source
Source
USA
Draw
HERZEGOV
Betfair Exchange sharp
71%
19%
10%
Smarkets sharp
71%
19%
10%
Matchbook sharp
71%
19%
10%
Pinnacle
69%
20%
11%
DraftKings
70%
20%
11%
FanDuel
70%
19%
11%
Wtd. Average
70%
19%
11%
↻ Exchange-weighted consensus · 10 books · live
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Correct Score
3–0
15%
3–1
15%
2–0
14%
2–1
14%
4–0
12%
4–1
12%
1–1
10%
5–0
8%
Poisson model fitted to exchange-weighted 1X2 probabilities. WC2026 goal-rate & Dixon-Coles draw correction applied.